Balance of Choas

St. Petersburg Economic Forum ~1700hrs of 2nd June 2017.

           Attended a provocatively titled session "Future Preparedness Index". It was chaired by Andrey Fursenko, erstwhile Science Minister of Russia and skeptic of the idea. The Authors of the index, who were also the panelists claimed that the future preparedness of a society or nation can be concluded from 10 key factors. Therefore, more a society targets & connects to achievements of these higher indicators, the better it is supposed to be future prepared and therefore have a better probability of winning. Having sat through an hour of discussion, below-mentioned was my impromptu argument, which led me to visualize this concept I termed 'Chaotic Balance' or 'Balance of Chaos'. 

          I argued, "Imagine us on a floating platform in the middle of ocean with a ball a tossing within the confines of the platform (as thought this platform is a container) amongst us, inertially (on its own) on Brownian principle - that is it is not possible to predict its future location by any means. Catching the ball (it represents the future) is the assignment. If all participants do their own estimates of ball's future location individually, without providing cues to others, one will have each running into different directions depending on the strength & weakness of their location. May be some one person might even win, but people will run chaotically in all directions. But here's the silver lining - this chaotic movement will ensure a more or less even distribution of weight on the platform, hence enabling it to stay afloat".

          "Now the other case", I continued my arguments - "everyone on the platform is informed of probable future positions of the ball and advocated to run to specific location, which is what the future preparedness index does. Irrespective of (i) whether the ball arrives at that point or (ii) someone ultimately catches the ball; the platform will disbalance and topple for lack of sensible weight distribution as too many people are located at the same point of platform and time. Thereby drowning us all".

       The former seems to be a more sensible philosophy of existence to ensure we stay afloat. I call this state of social equilibrium as Chaotic-Balance or Balance-of-Chaos.